• العربية
  • فارسی
Brand
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Theme
  • Language
    • العربية
    • فارسی
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
All rights reserved for Volant Media UK Limited
volant media logo
ANALYSIS

Zarif blames others for Iran’s path, but falls short

Bozorgmehr Sharafedin
Bozorgmehr Sharafedin

Iran International

Dec 24, 2025, 01:44 GMT+0Updated: 22:30 GMT+0
Former Iran's foreign minister Javad Zarif, File photo
Former Iran's foreign minister Javad Zarif, File photo

Mohammad Javad Zarif’s latest Foreign Affairs article follows a familiar pattern in his narrative: recasting Tehran’s militarization and domestic repression as reactive responses to external pressure rather than deliberate internal choices.

Zarif argues that relations between Iran and the United States have long been trapped in a cycle of “securitization,” in which each side responds defensively to the other’s actions.

The Islamic Republic, he writes, has been “forced” to prioritize military spending over development because of attacks by Iraq, Israel, and the United States.

The argument downplays Iran’s own role in shaping that trajectory.

Contrary to Zarif’s account, the theocracy’s turn toward securitization gained pace in the aftermath of the Iran–Iraq war, particularly under the late President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who helped embed the military in politics and the economy as a pillar of postwar reconstruction and state survival.

But Zarif shifts responsibility for Iran’s unbalanced development outward.

Western pressure, not decisions taken by Iran’s leadership, is blamed for a system in which missile programs expanded while welfare sectors such as housing, employment, and healthcare stagnated.

The implication is that Iran’s strategic priorities were imposed rather than chosen.

Zarif further suggests that reduced pressure from Washington would lead Tehran to de-escalate. Yet this claim sits uneasily with his own account of events following the 2015 nuclear deal.

One of the achievements Zarif frequently cited was the lifting of sanctions not only on Iran’s nuclear program but also on arms-related restrictions, including sanctions on Iran Air, allowing the airline to modernize its fleet.

By Zarif’s own account, however, the easing of sanctions did not lead to restraint.

In a 2021 interview with the economist Saeed Leylaz, Zarif acknowledged that Iran Air flights were used by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to transfer weapons to Syria, with such flights increasing sharply after the nuclear deal. When Zarif raised concerns with Qassem Soleimani, the then-commander of the Quds Force, he said Soleimani replied that “Iran Air is safer.”

Zarif later described this dynamic as the “dominance of the battlefield over diplomacy,” an admission that key decisions about militarization were made within Iran’s power structure, not imposed from abroad.

Indeed, the period following the nuclear deal saw expanded investment in missile programs and a deepening of Iran’s regional proxy network, financed in part by newly available resources.

Yet in the Foreign Affairs article, Zarif presents increased uranium enrichment and the repression of domestic protest as reactions to Western pressure—once again shifting responsibility for violent crackdowns repression away from the rule in Tehran.

“The external securitization of Iran has fed into a parallel dynamic at home,” he writes, “as the state adopted a stricter approach in dealing with domestic social challenges, responding to these challenges with tighter restrictions.”

A similar pattern appears in Zarif’s account of Iran’s role in Syria.

In the same 2021 interview, he suggested that Iran’s direct military involvement followed a visit by Soleimani to Moscow, framing the escalation as the product of Russian strategy to undermine the nuclear deal rather than a decision taken by Iran’s leadership.

The role of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Iran’s own security institutions is largely absent from this narrative.

The tendency to externalize responsibility extends to other areas as well.

After the nuclear deal, the release of several dual nationals and the unfreezing of Iranian assets raised expectations of de-escalation. Instead, a new wave of arrests of dual nationals followed, a pattern widely seen as deliberate leverage rather than a response to external pressure.

Zarif’s article also describes Israeli strikes in June 2025 as “unprovoked,” without reference to decades of official Iranian rhetoric calling for Israel’s destruction or the expansion of armed proxy groups along Israel’s borders.

The broader context of the current confrontation—including Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attack on Israel, praised by Iranian officials—is notably absent.

Iran has had multiple opportunities to break the cycle Zarif describes, from the early years after the revolution to the post-nuclear-deal period. Each time, its leadership made choices that reinforced militarization and repression rather than curbing them.

The question raised by Zarif’s essay is not whether external pressure mattered—but why internal agency continues to be written out of the story.

Most Viewed

Iran negotiators ordered to return after internal rift over Islamabad talks
1
EXCLUSIVE

Iran negotiators ordered to return after internal rift over Islamabad talks

2
EXCLUSIVE

Iran’s central bank warns economy may take 12 years to rebuild after war

3
INSIGHT

Iran's digital economy battered by prolonged blackout

4
ANALYSIS

US blockade enters murky phase as tankers spoof signals and buyers hesitate

5
ANALYSIS

Why the $100 billion Hormuz toll revenue is a myth

Banner
Banner

Spotlight

  • Hardliners push Hormuz ‘red line’ as US blockade tests Iran’s leverage
    INSIGHT

    Hardliners push Hormuz ‘red line’ as US blockade tests Iran’s leverage

  • Ideology may be fading in Iran, but not in Kashmir's ‘Mini Iran'
    INSIGHT

    Ideology may be fading in Iran, but not in Kashmir's ‘Mini Iran'

  • War damage amounts to $3,000 per Iranian, with blockade set to add to losses
    INSIGHT

    War damage amounts to $3,000 per Iranian, with blockade set to add to losses

  • Why the $100 billion Hormuz toll revenue is a myth
    ANALYSIS

    Why the $100 billion Hormuz toll revenue is a myth

  • US blockade targets Iran oil boom amid regional disruption
    ANALYSIS

    US blockade targets Iran oil boom amid regional disruption

  • Iran's digital economy battered by prolonged blackout
    INSIGHT

    Iran's digital economy battered by prolonged blackout

•
•
•

More Stories

UN experts demand Iran to halt execution of female political prisoner

Dec 23, 2025, 23:26 GMT+0

A group of UN human rights experts and more than 400 prominent women from around the world on Tuesday urged Iran to halt the execution of political prisoner Zahra Shahbaz Tabari held in Lakan Prison in Rasht.

“Ms. Tabari’s case shows a pattern of serious violations of international human rights law regarding fair trial guarantees and the inappropriate use of capital punishment for broad and ill-defined national security offences,” the UN experts said.

The statement adds that under the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, which Iran ratified in 1975, the death penalty must be limited to the “most serious crimes”, understood as involving intentional killing.

“This case involves no intentional killing and contains numerous procedural violations. To execute Ms. Tabari under these circumstances would constitute arbitrary execution,” the experts said.

UN human rights experts, who monitor states’ compliance with international law and regularly brief UN bodies and governments, said the case highlights a wider pattern of abuses in Iran’s use of the death penalty

The experts said she was sentenced to death on the charges of baghi (armed rebellion) in October based on two pieces of evidence, including a piece of cloth bearing the slogan “Woman, Resistance, Freedom,” a popular slogan from the 2022 protests, and an unpublished audio message.

“What we see here is a mockery of justice that falls far short of the most basic international standards,” they said, urging Iran to halt the execution and bring its use of the death penalty in line with its international obligations.

Prominent women worldwide urge Iran to stop Tabari's execution

More than 400 prominent women from around the world also urged Iran to halt the execution of Tabari in an appeal that denounces her death sentence as the outcome of an unjust trial.

Among the signatories are prominent Iranian women in exile as well as international feminists and human rights defenders, bolstering the appeal’s call for global pressure on Tehran to stop Tabari’s execution.

Some of the most high-profile signatories include Nobel Peace Prize laureate Shirin Ebadi, Republican US Congresswoman Nancy Mace of South Carolina, and Samantha Power, the former US ambassador to the UN.

The appeal is also signed by former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and other senior former officials, including ex-ministers and ambassadors.

"Tabari as a 67-year-old mother and engineer who was sentenced to death in October on national security charges after a brief remote hearing held by videoconference," the statement said.

“Our colleague’s death sentence was handed down in a sham 10-minute trial, held remotely via videoconference without her chosen legal representation,” the signatories said, calling the proceedings a violation of Iran’s obligations under international law.

“For four decades, Iranian authorities have enforced brutal gender apartheid and institutionalized misogyny including through forced veiling,” the statement added.

The appeal urges the Iranian authorities to immediately quash Tabari’s death sentence and release her, warning that her hanging would amount to a further crime under international law.

“We demand Zahra’s immediate release, and we call on governments worldwide to stand with the women of Iran in their quest for democracy, equality, and freedom,” the signatories said, calling for concerted diplomatic pressure and engagement with UN mechanisms to prevent the execution.

‘Leave the fire and take Trump’s hand,’ US envoy tells Iran at UN

Dec 23, 2025, 17:35 GMT+0

The United States and Iran traded sharply worded accusations on Tuesday at the United Nations Security Council, with Washington offering conditional talks while Tehran blamed the standoff on US withdrawal from the nuclear deal and strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June.

Speaking during the session, Morgan Ortagus, counselor of the US Mission to the United Nations, said Washington remained open to formal negotiations but only if Iran agreed to direct talks and abandoned uranium enrichment.

“We’d like to make it clear to the entire world that the United States remains available for formal talks with Iran, but only if Tehran is prepared for direct and meaningful dialogue. Direct and meaningful.”

“Foremost, there can be no enrichment inside of Iran, and that remains our principle,” she added.

Ortagus said President Donald Trump had repeatedly pursued diplomacy with Tehran.

“In both administrations, President Trump extended the hand of diplomacy to Iran,” she said. “But instead of taking that hand of diplomacy, you continue to put your hand in the fire. Step away from the fire, sir, and take President Trump’s hand of diplomacy.”

Iran rejected that framing.

“We appreciate any fair and meaningful negotiation, but insisting on zero enrichment policy is contrary to our rights as a member of the NPT," Tehran's UN envoy Amir Saeed Iravani said.

"Iran will not bow down to any pressure and intimidation.”

Iravani argued that the crisis stemmed from Washington’s unilateral withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear agreement and subsequent actions by the United States and its allies.

"The root causes of the current situation are clear and did not emerge overnight or in isolation. They lie in the unilateral withdrawal of the United States from the JCPOA in 2018, the sustained and deliberate non-compliance of the three European countries with their commitments and the subsequent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran's peaceful safeguard nuclear facilities.

The remarks referred to the 12-day war in June, when Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran in the middle of nuclear negotiations, drawing in the United States and derailing a planned new round of talks.

Tuesday's Council session revealed deep divisions over whether UN sanctions on Iran have been reinstated under the snapback mechanism of Resolution 2231.

Britain, France and Germany argue that Iran’s nuclear noncompliance has restored sanctions automatically, while China and Russia — backed by Tehran — reject that claim and question the Council’s authority to continue addressing the issue.

Russia, China reject Iran sanctions at Security Council showdown

Dec 23, 2025, 14:59 GMT+0

Veto-holding powers clashed at the United Nations Security Council on Tuesday over Iran’s nuclear program, with China and Russia denouncing Western efforts to revive UN sanctions as legally invalid.

Speaking during the session, Beijing and Moscow envoys rejected claims by France, Germany and the United Kingdom that Resolution 2231 remains in force and that international sanctions on Iran have automatically returned.

Both argued that the resolution expired in October and that the Council no longer has a mandate to consider Iran’s nuclear file.

China’s deputy permanent representative to the United Nations, Sun Lei, described the European move as riddled with “legal and procedural loopholes,” noting that the Council had never reached consensus on whether the European trio had the authority to activate snapback.

“Resolution 2231 expired on October 18, and the Council has ceased its considerations on the Iranian nuclear issue,” Sun added.

Russian envoy Vasily Nebenzya said neither the Security Council nor the UN Secretariat had any remaining mandate on Iran, calling the meeting “a blatant attempt” by Western members to create the impression that Resolution 2231 and the snapback mechanism remain in force.

He warned that such efforts would deepen rifts within the Council “not only politically, but also on legal and procedural matters.”

'Not arbitrary'

Britain and the United States rejected those arguments outright.

Archie Young, the United Kingdom’s deputy permanent representative to the United Nations, said the meeting was “fully in line with the decisions and procedure of this Council” and that London, alongside Paris and Berlin, had triggered snapback “in full accordance with Security Council Resolution 2231.”

“We did so because of Iran’s significant non-performance of its commitments under the JCPOA,” Young said, referring to the 2015 nuclear deal.

US representative Jeff Bartos also defended the sanctions' return as a consequence of Tehran's actions.

"These resolutions are not arbitrary or punitive," he said, "but rather narrowly scoped to address a nuclear program that seeks to operate out of view of the international community and in continued noncompliance with its Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Mandated Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement with the IAEA,as reaffirmed last month by the IAEA Board."

"The United States continues to prefer a negotiated solution to this matter," Bartos added.

'Masks off'

Russia's envoy accused the United States and Israel of derailing diplomacy by airstrikes on Iran in June.

"There were five rounds of indirect negotiations, and the parties agreed to meet for a sixth round. However, two days before that, Israel opted for a military escalation and struck Iranian territory, including civilian nuclear facilities that were under IAEA safeguards. A week later, Western Jerusalem was joined by the U.S. in this misadventure," he told the council.

"In 2025, Western countries took their masks off once and for all regarding the settlement of the Iranian nuclear program. If anyone still had any doubts as to their real position, then these positions have been revealed now once and for all."

'Deliberate disinformation'

Iran's ambassador to the UN Amir Saeed Iravani echoed his Chinese and Russian counterparts in objecting to the convening of the security council meeting.

What we are witnessing is not a legitimate disagreement over interpretation but a calculated distortion of Resolution 2231 to deliberate dissemination of disinformation regarding Iran's peaceful nuclear program and a cynical attempt to abuse this Council for their narrow political interests," Iravani said.

"The root causes of the current situation are clear and did not emerge overnight or in isolation. They lie in the unilateral withdrawal of the United States from the JCPOA in 2018, the sustained and deliberate non-compliance of the three European countries with their commitments and the subsequent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran's peaceful safeguard nuclear facilities."

'Negotiated settlement'

UN under-secretary-general Rosemary A. DiCarlo tried to bring a divided council together with emphasis on continued diplomacy.

"Notwithstanding the significant differences between the relevant parties ... all of them have continued to emphasize the importance of a diplomatic solution and expressed overall readiness to engage with each other for this purpose," DiCarlo said.

"A negotiated settlement that would secure the overall objectives of ensuring a peaceful Iranian nuclear program and providing sanctions relief is the best option available to the international community."

Iraq says Iranian gas supplies stop completely

Dec 23, 2025, 13:12 GMT+0

Iraq’s electricity ministry said on Tuesday that Iranian gas supplies had stopped entirely, cutting between 4,000 and 4,500 megawatts from the national power grid and reducing supply hours.

“The flow of Iranian gas has stopped completely,” ministry spokesman Ahmed Mousa said, adding that some power units were shut while others were forced to cut output.

Mousa said Tehran had informed Baghdad of the halt due to “emergency conditions,” without giving further details.

He said the Iraq Electricity Ministry had switched to domestic alternative fuel in coordination with the oil ministry, and that generation remained “under control” despite the shortfall.

Iranian gas exports to Iraq had declined sharply this year after the US tightened sanctions enforcement and revoked a long-standing waiver that allowed Iraq to pay for Iranian electricity and gas imports.

Between April and August, Iranian gas exports to Iraq fell by about 40%, according to regional trade data, as Baghdad struggled to navigate sanctions while seeking alternative supplies.

Iraq’s power sector has also faced security disruptions. In November, a rocket strike forced the shutdown of the Khor Mor gas field in northern Iraq, cutting about 3,000 megawatts from regional supply.

Local Kurdish officials blamed Iran-backed armed groups for the attack, which targeted energy infrastructure critical to electricity generation.

The electricity ministry said Iraq had prepared for peak winter demand through maintenance and upgrades at power stations, and that coordination with the oil ministry would continue until Iranian gas flows resume.

Iranian drugmakers warn illicit exports to Afghanistan are rising

Dec 23, 2025, 12:37 GMT+0

Iranian pharmaceutical industry figures warned that illicit Iranian-made medicines are increasingly appearing in Afghanistan, undercutting legal exports and deepening shortages at home.

Pharmaceutical sector representatives say the flow has accelerated after Pakistan curtailed drug exports to Afghanistan, turning Iran’s subsidized market into an attractive source for traffickers.

They argue that wide price gaps between Iran and neighboring countries have made smuggling structurally profitable, sidelining legal export channels.

Drug production has increased by around 50% but shortages persist, Mohsen Abdollahzadeh, a board member of the Drug Distributors Syndicate said on Tuesday.

“Drug smuggling from Iran to Iraq and Afghanistan is so extensive that traders in those countries are unable to import medicines legally and cannot compete with smuggled Iranian drugs,” he added.

  • Iran health officials flag price rises as shortages loom over currency crunch

    Iran health officials flag price rises as shortages loom over currency crunch

  • Iran drug stocks under two months, 800 medicines at risk as FX delays bite

    Iran drug stocks under two months, 800 medicines at risk as FX delays bite

  • Iran medical suppliers warn of worsening drug shortages

    Iran medical suppliers warn of worsening drug shortages

Food and Drug Administration of Iran has conceded that so-called “reverse smuggling” exists, driven by sharp price differences with neighboring markets.

However, spokesperson Mohammad Hashemi disputed a widespread surge, saying documented cases remain limited. Continued leakage, he warned, could trigger intermittent shortages and place further strain on an already fragile supply chain.

Recent talks with an Afghan delegation, Hashemi said, focused on expanding formal pharmaceutical exports and improving monitoring, a move critics say reflects belated damage control rather than a solution to entrenched enforcement gaps.

Food market shows same fault lines

The controversy mirrors developments in food markets, where currency policy shifts and the removal of subsidized exchange rates have driven sharp increases in staple prices.

Analysts say both sectors show the same pattern: multiple pricing regimes and weak oversight have encouraged arbitrage and cross-border leakage.

For consumers, the result has been recurrent shortages and rising costs, as subsidized goods – whether medicine or food – slip out of regulated channels faster than authorities can contain them.

Authorities say medicines are still available for now, but concede that delays in transferring allocated foreign exchange, mounting arrears to suppliers and dwindling inventories have pushed the sector to the brink, increasing the risk of shortages in the final months of the Iranian year, which ends on March 20.

In an economy battered by chronic inflation and currency volatility, officials say, keeping drug prices frozen shifts the burden onto manufacturers and ultimately jeopardizes national drug supply chain.