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ANALYSIS

Trump hints Kushner may take on new Iran diplomacy role

Negar Mojtahedi
Negar Mojtahedi

Iran International

Oct 14, 2025, 03:00 GMT+1Updated: 00:13 GMT+0
Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump attend the wedding of billionaire Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez in Venice.
Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump attend the wedding of billionaire Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez in Venice.

US President Donald Trump appeared to suggest in a passing remark during a speech before Israel's Knesset on Monday that his son-in-law Jared Kushner could lead US diplomacy with Tehran.

“We always bring Jared when we want to get that deal closed … Steve, you and Jared and the general and Pete and Marco — you’ll get that deal done,” Trump said moments after discussing Iran’s nuclear program and its role in the Middle East.

The line was brief but telling.

For analysts who have followed Trump’s unconventional diplomacy, it echoed the playbook that produced the Abraham Accords — a blend of personal trust, transactional bargaining and Kushner’s unique access to Persian Gulf capitals.

Kushner has already hinted at his own views on Iran in the past. In a post on X in September 2024, he called the day Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah’s was assassinated by Israel “the most important day in the Middle East since the Abraham Accords.”

Kushner wrote on X that Iran was “now fully exposed” because its deterrent — Hezbollah’s arsenal — had been “a loaded gun pointed at Israel.”

The billionaire businessman argued that Israel “cannot afford now to not finish the job and completely dismantle the arsenal that has been aimed at them,” and praised Trump’s strategy of strength over negotiation.

The message underscored Kushner’s hawkish outlook on Iran and belief that its armed allies in the region must be dismantled before any lasting peace can emerge.

The Kushner Factor

Eric Mandel, director of the Middle East Political Information Network (MEPIN), told Iran International that Trump’s reliance on loyal envoys like Kushner reflects his governing style — but that Iran is a different arena entirely.

“He uses people who are loyal to him to do things way beyond what normal portfolios are,” Mandel said. “But you’re not going to change the spots of the Islamic Republic.”

Mandel warned that Kushner’s pragmatic, business-minded approach could misread Tehran’s ideological rigidity.

While Mandel sees value in verifiable understandings — such as access for inspectors, curbs on ballistic missile and limits on activity by armed allies — he doubts Tehran would treat such talks as anything more than a tactical pause.

Iran has expressly rejected curbs to its military activities as a non-starter for talks.

“If you can kick the can down the road five years, maybe ten, and get something binding, fine,” he said. “But don’t expect human-rights progress or regime transformation. They’ll stall until Trump is gone," said Mandel.

Trump’s renewed focus on Iran comes amid a regional recalibration. Following Israel’s 12-day war with Iran in June and a fragile Gaza truce, he may be testing whether Tehran’s leadership will engage diplomatically or double down on defiance.

‘The Carrot and the Stick’

Kushner’s re-emergence makes practical sense, as he retains credibility with Riyadh, Abu Dhabi and Doha, and may offer Tehran a face-saving interlocutor outside official channels, Middle East analyst, former Israeli intelligence official and author Avi Melamed told Iran International.

“It makes sense that he could be someone the Iranians would be willing to look at as a go-between,” Melamed said. “He’s a familiar figure in Gulf capitals, and his track record with the Abraham Accords gives him legitimacy others don’t have.”

Kushner has multi-billion dollar business ties with state-linked businesses in the region.

His Affinity Partners investment group partnered with Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund to help buy US videogame developer Electronic Arts last month for $55 billion, which if completed would be the largest leveraged buyout in history.

Carrot, stick

Trump’s mention of Kushner also signaled a dual strategy — diplomacy backed by implicit threat, Israeli-Iranian researcher Beni Sabti, who served as former spokesperson to Prime Minister Netanyahu, told Iran International.

“Jared is the carrot, and Israel is the stick,” he said. “Trump shows Iran that there’s a softer route if they behave, but the alternative is pressure and potential strikes.”

Yet others see opportunity rather than confrontation. With Iran under economic strain and its regional proxies weakened, some analysts believe Trump’s overture — and Kushner’s possible return — could open a narrow diplomatic window.

Melamed argued Tehran has reasons to listen. The June 12-day war severely weakened the so-called axis of resistance and exposed Iran’s regional vulnerabilities.

Coupled with new US sanctions and pressure on Iran-backed militias, “the toolkit Washington holds today is far stronger than before October 7,” he said. Melamed expects the clerical establishment to seek talks to ease economic strain while preserving its core power structure.

Sabti said Tehran’s refusal to attend last month’s Sharm el-Sheikh peace summit underscores both its isolation and its pride — a system that, he said, “would rather stay out and look strong than appear subordinate.”

Whether Kushner formally re-enters diplomacy on Iran remains unclear. But Trump’s words revived speculation first reported by Iran International podcast Eye for Iran in 2024, when Yale’s Jeffrey Sonnenfeld — who worked with Kushner on the Abraham Accords — predicted that “the only way there will be peace in the Middle East is through someone like Kushner.”

For now, Iran’s answer is silence.

The Islamic Republic declined an invitation to the Sharm el-Sheikh summit, calling recognition accords with Israel a “treacherous normalization project.”

Still, with sanctions tightening and proxies under strain, analysts agree Tehran may be preparing to reopen diplomatic channels — even if only to buy time.

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MI5 warns Iran, Russia and China spying to influence UK lawmakers

Oct 14, 2025, 00:00 GMT+1

Britain’s MI5 warned members of Parliament that spies from China, Russia and Iran are targeting UK politicians in an effort to influence policy, gather intelligence and undermine democracy, Reuters reported on Monday.

MI5 Director General Ken McCallum urged lawmakers to stay alert to blackmail attempts, phishing attacks,and approaches from individuals seeking to cultivate long-term relationships or make donations to sway decisions.

“When foreign states steal vital UK information or manipulate our democratic processes, they don’t just damage our security in the short term—they erode the foundations of our sovereignty,” McCallum said, mentioning the three countries.

Iran’s inclusion alongside Russia and China highlights growing concern over Tehran’s global network of influence operations, which British and European officials say increasingly target lawmakers, journalists and activists.

MI5’s warning follows reports linking Iranian cyber groups to intimidation and disinformation campaigns abroad, including against UK-based journalists critical of the Islamic Republic.

The advisory comes a week after prosecutors dropped a high-profile espionage case against two British men accused of spying for China, after the government declined to present classified evidence in court. The case has sparked debate over how to confront foreign interference while protecting intelligence sources.

McCallum concluded his message by urging vigilance among lawmakers: “Take action today to protect democracy—and yourself.”

Iranian media warned against positive coverage of Trump peace signals

Oct 13, 2025, 21:59 GMT+1

Iran’s top security body warned domestic media against positive coverage of US President Donald Trump’s talk of peace with Iran, calling it part of an enemy psychological war, according to a confidential directive seen by Iran International.

President Trump told the Israeli Knesset on Monday that Tehran was tired of war and Washington was ready for peace after US attacks on Iranian nuclear sites in June.

Hours later, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) sent a directive to domestic media instructing them to exercise caution in covering his remarks.

"Trump’s remarks in the parliament of the Zionist regime, along with certain claims such as pursuing peace, making a deal with Iran and attempting to influence the media environment, make it necessary for colleagues to exercise vigilance regarding the enemy’s psychological warfare."

"Any optimistic view or excitement over a possible shift in the US approach could send wrong signals abroad, harm the economy, and undermine national unity," the SNSC said, according to the directive a copy of which was obtained by Iran International.

It also urged media outlets to provide analytical coverage of Trump's remarks and not simply repeat or amplify his statements.

In a later speech in Egypt's Sharm el-Sheikh, Trump said Iran could not survive sanctions and that it would likely return to negotiations.

"I think Iran will come along. They've been battered and bruised and, you know, they're out there. They need some help. There are big sanctions, as you know, tremendous sanctions," he told reporters alongside Egypt's President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi.

"I'd love to take the sanctions off when they're ready to talk. But they can't really survive with those sanctions," he added ahead of the Middle East Peace Summit which gathered the leaders of 20 countries following a US-brokered ceasefire in Gaza.

Iran was also invited by Cairo to the summit, but declined the invitation citing the presence of Trump who ordered strikes on Iran in June and has imposed the harshest sanctions against the country.

"While favoring diplomatic engagement, neither President Pezeshkian nor I can engage with counterparts who have attacked the Iranian People and continue to threaten and sanction us," Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Sunday.

'What foreign policy?': Iranians lament Tehran’s snub of Trump Gaza summit

Oct 13, 2025, 19:15 GMT+1
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Tehran Insider

Tehran’s decision to skip a Gaza peace summit in Egypt has left many Iranians feeling further cut off from the world—another sign, they say, of leaders who mistake isolation for strength or dignity.

What might once have passed as defiance now feels like self-inflicted irrelevance, an empty gesture that deepens the country’s loneliness.

“(Foreign Minister Abbas) Araghchi said they won’t engage with those who threaten Iranians,” says my friend Sima, an emergency-room doctor. “Well, no one has harmed and threatened us like the Islamic Republic does.”

We’re sitting in a crowded café in central Tehran. The air is thick with the scent of coffee beans and the sound of drab Iranian ‘fusion’ music. Almost no woman wears a headscarf.

I started the conversation, admittedly forcing the topic. My friends were reluctant at first, wary of repeating the same hopeless arguments. But once you start bashing the Islamic Republic, you can’t stop.

“Who gave Araghchi the mandate to talk on our behalf?” Sima continues. “Did they ask us if we wanted them to go to Sharm el-Sheikh? Have they ever asked if we want to be friends or foes with the United States?”

‘Unnecessary isolation’

As glaring as the vanishing hijab is, the fact that no one whispers when politics come up—not because the state has relaxed its grip, but because more and more people are simply assuming their liberty.

“Posturing is all that’s left for them,” says my other friend Amir, a digital marketing manager. “What’s to gain from not being at the table? They’re more irrelevant than ever. Another generation has to suffer this unnecessary isolation.”

Across the table, Elham, a musician, nods. “Listen, I do care about Palestine—and not many around me do, honestly. But what these idiots do, and have been doing for decades, does nothing for the Palestinian cause. You don’t recognize Israel and then what? It’s just empty sloganeering.”

“I don’t think it’s posturing,” Sima interjects. “It’s calculated. Think of Iran as a business worth hundreds of billions. Real change means losing privilege. Why would they?”

‘They don’t want to be normal’

As we speak, I keep checking my social-media feed—with a VPN, of course. Photos from Sharm el-Sheikh flood in: Trump landing, surrounded by world leaders from Europe, the Arab world, and beyond.

For once, Iran wasn’t excluded. It excluded itself.

“They don’t want to act normal,” Amir says, agreeing with Sima, “because behaving normal might be the end of them.”

Elham adds, “Truth is, because elections aren’t free, we never even have the option to show what we want. Only those who toe Khamenei’s line get through. So we can’t even vote for someone who says: stop this madness and be a normal country.”

Her tone isn’t angry—just flat, like someone long past expecting change.

‘Nothing to lose’

Amir smiles bitterly, making it hard to gauge if he's serious or joking.

“Once Khamenei’s gone, things could change," he says. "Khamenei is nearly ninety. He’s got nothing to lose—unlike us. He wants to be remembered as the one who stayed the course. He doesn’t care that his course leads us to ruin.”

This isn’t a typical conversation in Tehran. Most people talk about rent, prices or finding medicine. But scratch the surface, and the anger spills out.

Everyone I know, in one way or another, links their daily struggles to what they see as a deluded, self-defeating foreign policy—one that isolates Iran while pretending to defend its dignity.

As Sima put it, calling this foreign policy “violates the word itself.”

US president says Iran cannot survive sanctions, urges dialogue

Oct 13, 2025, 16:14 GMT+1

US President Donald Trump on Monday said Iran could not survive sanctions but that Tehran would likely return to negotiations, in the latest conciliatory comments in the wake of diplomatic progress on Gaza.

"I think Iran will come along. They've been battered and bruised and, you know, they're out there. They need some help. There are big sanctions, as you know, tremendous sanctions," Trump told reporters alongside Egypt's President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi.

"I'd love to take the sanctions off when they're ready to talk. But they can't really survive with those sanctions," he added ahead of a summit in Sharm al-Sheikh.

Trump on Monday clinched the release of 20 Israeli hostages in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian political prisoners in a complex international deal he says will bring the devastating two-year-old war in Gaza to a close.

A troika of European powers triggered the reimposition of international sanctions on Iran last month, accusing Tehran of spurning diplomacy and nuclear inspections.

Trump reinstated the so-called "maximum pressure" campaign of US sanctions when he resumed office in January.

Iran denies seeking a nuclear weapon, has rejected a US demand that it renounce domestic enrichment and sees sanctions as a violation of international law.

"I think Iran is going to be fine. I know so many Iranian people. They're great people. They're smart. Great, great people. Engineers, lawyers. I mean, they're academics. But they took a big hit," Trump added.

Trump has frequently spoken of wanting better ties with Tehran, even surprising Israeli lawmakers in a speech to the Israeli parliament earlier in the day when he opined: "It would be great if we made a peace deal with them, wouldn’t it be nice,"

The statement earned a smattering of applause from attendees.

Trump earlier this year gave Iran a 60-day ultimatum to reach a nuclear deal, demanding it end all domestic uranium enrichment. Tehran denies seeking a weapon and sees enrichment as a right.

On June 13, the 61st day since talks began, Israel launched a surprise military campaign which killed nuclear scientists along with hundreds of military personnel and civilians.

On the ninth day of fighting, the United States bombed three Iranian nuclear sites which US President Donald Trump has repeatedly said "obliterated" the country's nuclear program.

The 12-day war ended with a US-brokered ceasefire on June 24 but talks between Washington and Tehran have yet to resume.

'I make deals'

Trump has long asserted his deal-making prowess and has cited the Abraham Accord normalization agreements between several Arab states and Israel as a main accomplishment of his first term.

Elected in part on pledges to keep the United States out of foreign wars, Trump took a risk and alienated some in his right-win base with the June 22 strikes, but has described the attacks as necessary to paving the way toward a Gaza deal.

"And frankly, if we didn't hit them with the nuclear, I don't think you would have been able to have this incredible, this deal, this once-in-a-lifetime deal. Nobody's ever said anything like what's happening today," Trump added.

The President has repeatedly said Iran had publicly supported the deal but a foreign ministry statement on Thursday offered only a measured blessing, saying the Islamic Republic supports any accord backed by Palestinians which ends Israeli "genocide".

"Iran did put out a statement that they support this deal very wholeheartedly. So that was, in itself, something," Trump added. "That's all I do in my life. I make deals. And they want to make a deal."

Battered Iran and Hamas may look to war-torn Sudan for next foothold

Oct 13, 2025, 15:54 GMT+1

After Hamas militants in Gaza and other Iranian-armed allies took punishing blows throughout a two-year war regional melee since Oct. 7 2023, analysts say war-torn Sudan could provide an unlikely haven to recoup their power.

Sudan may serve as a gateway for rearming groups like Hamas, as Tehran’s so-called Axis of Resistance has been weakened by military and political losses, Danny Citronowicz, head of the Iran and Shia Axis program at Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies told Iran International.

“We have to pay attention to Iranian entrenchment in Sudan. (The Iranians) are working hard to build a base there. Recent reports indicate they are selling drones to the Sudanese army to strengthen their foothold," he said.

"Sudan has been a crucial waypoint for Iran to smuggle arms to Hamas,” Citronowicz added. “Iran’s activity in Africa, especially the eastern region, is significant. Sudan is key if they want to rearm Hamas again.”

Khartoum began to expel Hamas-linked operatives following the ouster of longtime Islamist President Omar al-Bashir in 2019, as new authorities mended ties with the West and inked a normalization accord with Israel.

Sudan’s ongoing civil war has reshaped its political landscape, unleashing deadly chaos and barely governed swathes of contested lands in which some Islamist groups have thrived.

Last year, Israel reportedly considered exiling the assassinated Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar from Gaza to Sudan before he was ultimately killed in a drone attack.

Earlier this year, Sudanese and Israeli media reported discussions about relocating Hamas leadership to Sudan, a possibility that could gain traction following recent Israeli airstrikes on Hamas bases in Qatar.

Red Sea combat

Behnam Ben Taleblu, an Iran expert at the US-based Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said the Red Sea remains a critical focus for Tehran and the Iran-allied Houthi group in Yemen have traded blows for nearly two years.

“Tehran has doubled down on the Houthis while rebuilding ties in Africa, particularly in war-torn Sudan. The Red Sea’s importance has grown due to Houthi maritime and aerial campaigns,” he told Iran International.

Iran reestablished relations with Khartoum in late 2023 as Sudan’s army, led by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, struggled against the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces during the ongoing civil war.

Arash Azizi, Iran expert and author of What Iranians Want: Woman, Life, Freedom, said Sudan’s conflict provides Tehran a strategic opportunity. However, Sudan’s recognition of Israel under the 2020 US-brokered Abraham Accords remains a barrier.

“Iran’s gambit will have limited results because Khartoum has not reversed the 2020 recognition of Israel. Burhan is reportedly seeking a new deal with Israel,” Azizi said.

A foothold in Sudan also challenges Iran’s Persian Gulf rivals, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, which are deeply involved in the civil war.

Sudan’s 530-mile coastline offers Tehran a route to regain influence in the Red Sea and support the Iran-backed maritime blockade by the Houthis, which started in November 2023.

Tehran has supplied combat drones, munitions and intelligence in the urban conflict, which has killed thousands of civilians. US authorities accuse Iran of supporting the Islamist Ibn Malik battalion.

Since the October 7, 2023 in which 1,200 Israelis were killed and over 200 dragged back to Gaza in captivity, Iran’s allies have suffered major blows in fighting which has flared around the Middle East.

Israel’s ground incursion and air attacks on Gaza aimed to retrieve hostages and destroy Hamas, which seized control of the Strip in 2007.

Large portions of Gaza were destroyed and over 67,000 people killed according to local health authorities and much of the population displaced.

Waning fortunes

Iran lost its foothold in Syria last year when President Bashar Assad was toppled, leaving Tehran without easy conduits to enervated allies Hamas and Hezbollah.

Hezbollah was sapped by Israeli attacks targeting military infrastructure and leadership, including slain leader Hassan Nasrallah. A US-France-brokered ceasefire has increased international pressure to disarm the group.

In Iraq and Syria, Iranian allies conducted limited strikes toward Israel, while Iran continues arming Palestinian militias in the West Bank. The Houthis in Yemen also turned into the most active threat during the Gaza war, launching drones and missiles nearly daily.

“In general, the axis hasn’t achieved its intended deterrence against Israel. Unless we talk about the Houthis, they are unlikely to intervene in future conflicts,” Citronowicz said.

However, missile supplies dwindled as shipments from Iran were increasingly intercepted, forcing groups to rely more on drones.

British military expert Andrew Fox noted that Hamas remains the primary surviving element of Iran’s weakened network.

“Hezbollah is now a local militia, the Houthis are a minor nuisance, Iraqi militias have declined to participate," he said. "Only Hamas retains significant capability.”