Iran OPEC Envoy Predicts Higher Oil Prices For 2nd Half Of 2023
Iran's representative to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Afshin Javan
Iran's representative to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has predicted that the oil price may soar to around $100 per barrel as demand in China rises and supply remains limited.
On the sidelines of the India Energy Week conference, Afshin Javan referred to OPEC's recent decision to cut production, saying OPEC is moving in the right direction.
On Sunday, Reuters quoted the chief of the International Energy Agency (IEA) as saying that he expects half of this year's global oil demand growth to come from China.
OPEC+, an alliance that includes members of OPEC and others including Russia, agreed last year to cut their production target by 2 million barrels a day (bpd), about 2% of world demand, from November until the end of 2023 to support the market.
“Why did OPEC do this? Because it was not optimistic about oil demand level,” added Javan stating that China needs more oil after pandemic restrictions were eased.
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Monday the collective decision to cut output in October was the right move.
The October decision initially drew heavy criticism from the United States and other Western countries but market dynamics since then have shown the cuts to be prudent with oil prices hovering near the $85 a barrel from highs of above $100 in 2022.
Iran OPEC Envoy Predicts Higher Oil Prices For 2nd Half Of 2023 | Iran International
The Munich Security Conference (MSC) has invited Iranian and Russian opposition members instead of the governments to participate in its 59th annual meeting.
“There are three countries we have excluded: Russia, Iran, North Korea,” said German diplomat Christoph Heusgen, who is the chairman of the conference, in an interviewpublished Wednesday.
“We don't want the Munich Security Conference to serve as a podium for Russian propaganda,” Heusgen added.
Russia’s opposition, including chess championGarry Kasparov and exiled former oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky are invited to the event instead of delegates from the Russian government.
The names of the Iranian participants have not been announced.
“After violations of international law and the brutal attack of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and police against their own population, we no longer have any standing invitations for Iran,” Christoph Heusgen, the chairman of the conference, told Global Insider.
Although the last round of the conference was held before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov did not participate and German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock criticized Moscow’s non-participation in the event.
French President Emmanuel Macron, President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen, and Secretary General of the North Atlantic Treaty (NATO) Jens Stoltenberg are among the participants of this conference, which slated to be held from February 17 to 19.
Iran has revealed an underground air force base called "Eagle 44" Tuesday saying it is the first of its kind large enough to house fighter jets.
IRNA news agency reported that the base is capable of storing and operating fighter jets and drones.
The base was visited by anumber of high-ranking Iranian military officials ahead of its official unveiling by Iran's state media outlets.
However, the report by IRNA did not elaborate on the location of the base.
It added that it is one of the country's most important air force bases, built deep underground, housing fighters equipped with long-range cruise missiles.
Iran does not have a viable modern air force due to long-running sanctions and arms embargoes. It mostly relies on missiles and drones.
Tasnim new agency, which is affiliated with the Revolutionary Guard, said the tactical airbase can accommodate and prepare various aircraft, including fighter jets, bombers, and unmanned aerial vehicles, for missions.
“These bases that have been constructed in proportion to the needs and with high safety factor are located under a mountainous areas, so that they can be used for surprise aerial operations,” Tasnim reported.
"Any attack on Iran from our enemies, including Israel, will see a response from our many air force bases including Eagle 44," Iran's armed forces' Chief of Staff Mohammad Bagheri told state TV.
Lately, there has been more talk of an Israeli air attack on Iran to contain its military program. The United States and Israel held large drills in the end of January, possibly in preparation with such a scenario.
Baluch Activists Campaign say a teenager arrested during protests has attempted suicide in Zahedan prison, southeast of Iran, due to severe physical, sexual and mental torture.
According to the human rights organization, the teenager was arrested by the Revolutionary Gaurd intelligence in Zahedan on January 3, but he tried to take his own life after being severely tortured.
The 16-year-old has been identified as Benyamin Kouhkan, a citizen of Zahedan, the provincial capital of the largely Sistan-Baluchestan province largely populated by Sunnis of Baluch ethnicity.
There have been numerous reports of torture and rape of detained protesters in the past five months. Many have been forced make confessions admitting to crimes they never committed.
An informed source told the Baluch Activist Campaign that Benyamin informed his mother in a phone call that he had been subjected to severe physical and sexual torture to obtain coerced confessions.
According to this source, Benyamin tried to commit suicide after that, but he failed.
Reports about the alleged rape of a 15-year-old Baluch girl in June by a police commander in Chabahar, who has remained immune from prosecution, sparked protests in different areas of Baluchistan in September. The anger over the death of Mahsa Amini in police custody also added fuel to the fire with more than 100 Baluch protesters killed so far and 307 arrested during demonstrations.
Residents of Zahedan have been protesting every Friday after prayers since September 30, 2022.
Amnesty International says Iranian regime’s refusal to acknowledge the 1988 prison massacres has led to decades of crimes and cover-ups to suppress any form of political opposition.
In a statement on Monday the international bodysaid the diplomatic representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran played a very crucial role in denying the massacres by spreading misinformation and opposing an international investigation.
“Over four decades later, current Iranian officials employ similar strategies to cover up and weaken international responses to crimes under international law and other serious human rights violations as they try to crush ongoing nationwide protests sparked by the death in custody of Mahsa Amini in September 2022,” adds the statement.
“The authorities of the Islamic Republic of Iran have maintained an iron grip on power for decades through the commission of horror after horror with absolute impunity. They continue to systematically conceal the fate and whereabouts of thousands of political dissidents they extrajudicially killed in the 1980s and dumped in unmarked graves. They hide or destroy mass gravesites, and harass and intimidate survivors and relatives seeking truth, justice and reparation,” said Diana Eltahawy, Amnesty International’s Deputy Director.
“Such crimes are not relics of the past. The anniversary arrives amid a horrific wave of bloodshed around the latest protests, as well as arbitrary executions and death sentences targeting protesters. This highlights the need for urgent global action… to bring those involved to justice,” she added.
A member of Iran’s Chamber of Commerce says the country conducts direct trade only with China, Russia, Turkey, UAE and Oman, and with others through intermediaries.
Bahram Shakouri said in an interview with ILNA on Monday that due to US and other sanctions, official trade relations between Iran and Japan have reached zero.
“Japan and the US have significant joint investments and it is natural that after the imposition of US sanctions against Iran, the Japanese would prefer to limit their trade with Iran,” he noted.
Emphasizing the necessity to join the international money laundering watchdog, the FATF, Shakouti stated Iran's relations with other countries and its diplomacy should be boosted.
“Economic diplomacy affects politics, but in Iran it is the opposite, politics affects the economy, and the economy pays the cost of this policy. It seems that we must revise our relations with the world, if this is not done, we will face more problems day by day,” reiterated Shakouri.
Iran has been on the FATF blacklist, along with North Korea, since February 2020 for failing to pass legislation introducing transparency measures designed to combat money-laundering, corruption, and financing of ‘terrorism.’ FATF members – who host most of the world’s financial centers – are required to undertake enhanced diligence and countermeasures against blacklisted states.
The FATF blacklist carries with it no formal sanctions, but financial institutions shift their resources and services away from blacklisted countries not to risk legal complications.