Iran International
A veteran reformist and an aide to former President Mohammad Khatami says the totalitarian regime has alienated over 80 percent of Iranians who no longer want the Islamic Republic.
In a speech Sunday, Javad Emam, the CEO of Khatami’s Baran Foundation, which he set up after his presidency came to an end in 2005, argued that the dictatorship’s acting against the will of the people, means they “are the ones actually causing regime change”.
Speaking at the Veterans Society Party’s 4th congress, Emam, the party's secretary general, strongly criticized the government’s foreign policy including regional policies which he said “drove Iran's Arab neighbors to Israel’s bosom”.
Addressing party members, which consist mainly of reformist veterans of the Iran-Iraq War, he said the country's foreign policy had also failed to restore the 2015 nuclear deal which has “resulted in the poverty and misery of Iran and Iranians”, and spurred Iran's collaboration with Russia in its war against Ukraine.
Iran has been supplying military drones to Russia since mid-2022, which Moscow has used to target Ukraine’s infrastructure. The United States and European powers have strongly warned Tehran to cease its military cooperation with Russia.
Khatami’s aide warned the government that “in the near future people will no longer listen to them if it does not listen to the voice of people”.
Emam’s sharp criticism comes on the heels of unprecedented popular protests and statements by other key reformist figures who have either called for a referendum to change the regime or serious and fundamental changes in Iran’s politics and economy.
Khatami said in November that regime change, as protesters demanded on the streets, was “neither possible, nor desirable” due to the inequality of the powers of the government and the people. But he also warned the hardliner establishment over continuing the status quo which he said would only deepen the prospects of “societal collapse”. He proposed reforms in the system as the “least costly and most useful” way out of the current quagmire the regime has gotten itself into.
The Green Movement leader Mir-Hossein Mousavi, who was a presidential candidate in 2009 and has been under house arrest since 2011, however, in a statement on February 4, declared that the Islamic Republic was no longer reformable and fundamental change was required to “save Iran”. He proposed elections to appoint a constitutional assembly to write a new constitution and a referendum on the new constitution and its proposed form of government.
A day after Mousavi’s statement, Khatami, who was banned from the media and political activity as well as leaving the country years ago, also issued a statement which many saw as his opposition to Mousavi’s proposal and his insistence on preserving the Islamic Republic at any cost.
In his speech, Emam criticized Mousavi’s views and seemed to be siding with Khatami. He claimed that regime change views are promoted by those who want to cause a rift among reformists and the people.
Khatami and Mousavi both believe in non-violence and are against any foreign interference in Iranians’ affairs, he argued.
He added that before these two leaders’ statements, his own party had in an open letter to the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei warned about the dire situation in the country and stressed the necessity of deep reforms and returning to the full implementation of the Constitution before it was too late.
Alinejad made the comment Tuesday as she spoke about the uprising in Iran at the Italian Senate along with Canada-based activist Hamed Esmaeilion. They are also set to attend a gathering against the Islamic Republic in the capital Rome the following day, accompanying several other activists. Activist Hiva Feizi, Former United States Ambassador to the United Nations Mark Wallace, and Former Italian Senator Andrea Cangini were among the panel that addressed the Senate on Tuesday.
Alinejad was referring to the announcement by Iran International TV about shifting studio operations to Washington DC because of threats the UK police said were coming from the Islamic Republic, which have solicited worldwide reactions.
“At its sharpest, this has involved police and MI5 working together to foil 15 plots since the start of 2022 to either kidnap or even kill British or UK-based individuals perceived as enemies of the regime,” said a senior official of UK counter terrorism police.
Alinejad said after 15 plots, London should have taken more decisive action against the regime instead of advising Iran International to relocate. She also called on European countries not to be afraid of talking about “regime change” in Iran as the Iranians themselves are echoing this demand inside the country and abroad.
She added that keeping silent against the atrocities of the Islamic Republic is tantamount to taking sides with the regime, calling on all countries not to view the human rights situation in Iran as a mere internal issue. Standing up for human rights is a global issue, she highlighted. Alinejad alluded to American saying that ‘what happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas,’ noting that “What happens in Iran, spreads throughout the world.” “The Islamic Republic is the ISIS with oil,” she concluded.
Esmaeilion, in his turn, thanked the Italian lawmakers who have approved a draft resolution urging Tehran to immediately stop issuing death sentences to anti-government protestors and free all detainees. He also touched upon the shooting down of Flight PS752 by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard in 2020, in which he lost his daughter and wife, saying the circumstances of the tragic incident is still shrouded in mystery and the regime “sadistically harasses the families of the victims” to hide the realities.
Esmaeilion reminded the Senators that the regime has killed over 500 protesters, including at least 70 children, and arrested about 20,000 as part of its crackdown on the current wave of protests which is driven by women across Iran. He urged that the world, in particular European countries, not to negotiate with the Islamic Republic, which he described as “congenitally unable to be committed to any agreement.” He also referred to the persecution of ethnic and religious minorities in the country and said the Islamic Republic is a menace to Iranians and all the people of the world alike.
He also mentioned the regime’s support for the Syrian government in cracking down on dissent and military support for the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Elsewhere, he talked about the regime’s policy of hostage taking to use foreign nationals as bargaining chips.
Referring to a recent opinion survey involving 158,000 people in Iran that showed more than 80 percent of people reject the regime and prefer a democratic government, he called on the European countries to “suffocate all the means that nourishes” the regime.
Earlier on Tuesday, Iran's exiled prince Reza Pahlavi also held talks with French senators André Vallini and Jacqueline Eustache-Brinio. They called on Paris to contribute to all initiatives in support of protests to expedite the imminent fall of the dictatorship.
After a historic forum in Washington earlier this month by eight prominent dissident activists, they have been traveling to events around the world to make the voice of the Iranian opposition heard. Such events signal the emergence of a leadership council in the diaspora to campaign for international support in favor of Iran’s protest movement.
On Monday, an estimated crowd of about 20 to 30 thousand people held a rally in Brussels outside the European Council to call on EU countries to designate Iran’s Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist organization. Thousands of Iranians from all over Europe held a massive rally in Strasbourg in January for the same purpose.
Also on Monday, the EU sanctioned 32 Islamic Republic officials, including culture and education ministers, deputy IRGC commander, and several MPs. The move can be seen as a measure to justify the fact that the EU is not yet ready to designate the entirety of the IRGC.
The rial, which fell to a low of 500,000 against the US dollar on Monday stayed around the same level as a string of measures were announced by the government on Tuesday, giving the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) “unprecedented powers” to contain the damage.
Officials announced that citizens will not be allowed to buy their annual share of foreign currency from official exchange bureaus, which previously was $2,000. They also said that the government will stop providing dollars to banks and official dealers for that purpose.
Meat and other prices shot up, as a general mood of panic emerged over rising inflation in the coming days.
Some underground activist groups that have organized popular protests since September issued a call for demonstrations on Wednesday at bazaars around the country.
The economic chaos can reinvigorate antigovernment protests, after large-scale government repression reduced street demonstrations in January. Iranian analysts in recent weeks were speaking of the “grey strata” in society, unwilling to come out and support younger protesters, but the economic chaos can be the catalyst for more Iranians to join the movement.
Confidential government documents obtained by Iran International Tuesday showed that the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani, was warning President Ebrahim Raisi of shortages in animal feed due to lack of imports. Iran is dependent on importing millions of tons of grains and animal feed to maintain food production and supply. Any serious shortages can lead to chaos for consumers.
Mohammad Machine-Chian, a senior research scholar at the Center for Governance and Markets at the University of Pittsburgh told Iran International Tuesday that the “Supply chain of essential goods in Iran is in an extremely vulnerable and dangerous situation.” He added that the government’s foreign currency reserves are running out and it is not able to secure sufficient imports.
The government claimed that it established a new “currency exchange center” to provide dollars and other hard currencies “for legitimate needs,” leaving a trail of unanswered questions in the wake of the announcement.
Ordinary people and businesses more likely will see the move as yet another dubious government scheme, typical of the state-controlled economy.
According to official figures, well over $10 billion have been taken out of the country in the past few months. The real figure might be much higher as confidence in the economy and the government’s foreign policy seems to be at an all-time low.
The Biden administration, which was negotiating last year with Iran to resolve the dispute over Tehran’s nuclear program, not only has kept the Trump administration’s economic sanctions in place but has made attempts to strengthen their enforcement. The talks reached an impasse in September and since then Washington has repeatedly said that its focus has shifted to supporting the rights of Iranian protesters.
The mood among European powers has also shifted against the Iranian regime after it became obvious that it was supplying hundreds of kamikaze drones to Russia that are being used in Ukraine.