Activists Call For Support To Oust Iranian Regime In New Year

The recent move follows the blocking of an Instagram page featuring an elderly man whose singing and dancing videos garnered widespread attention. Iranian authorities labeled the content as "criminal" and subsequently arrested 12 individuals involved in its production and dissemination.

In response to growing dissent and criticism, Iran has intensified its crackdown on social media platforms, aiming to control the flow of information and suppress opposition voices.

The government has implemented censorship measures, including blocking access to popular social media sites such as Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram.

Additionally, authorities have targeted those who express dissenting views online, arresting and prosecuting activists, journalists, and ordinary citizens for their online activities.

The crackdown reflects the government's determination to maintain control over the narrative and silence dissent, despite facing widespread criticism from human rights organizations and the international community for infringing on freedom of expression.

The country only managed to add less than 75 megawatts (MW) of renewable energy capacity, whereas the initial projection had aimed for an addition of 2,500 MW – realizing just 3% of its renewables growth goal.

The latest statistics from the Energy Ministry indicate that there was a relatively small increase in new renewable energy infrastructure during the last fiscal year, with less than 11 MW of new wind farms and 64 MW of photovoltaic solar farms installed.

Interestingly, 37% of these installations became operational within the past week.

Iran’s total renewable energy capacity currently amounts to 879 MW, which represents less than 1% of the country's total nominal electricity generation capacity.

The country currently confronts a substantial electricity deficit of 14,000 MW during peak summer demand. Compelled by severe droughts and escalating air pollution, the nation has little recourse but to prioritize the expansion of renewable energy sources as its sole viable solution.

During the last fiscal year, Iran produced approximately 380 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity. Among the sources of electricity generation, nuclear power and renewables each contributed 1%, while hydropower plants accounted for 4.4%. The majority of electricity generation, 93.5%, came from thermal power plants. Notably, Iran's thermal power plants are substantial consumers of natural gas, using over 70 billion cubic meters annually, as well as significant quantities of dirty mazut and diesel fuels, totaling 20 billion liters per year.

Iran's greenhouse gas emissions have doubled since 2000, soaring to approximately one billion tons annually. As the sixth-largest emitter of greenhouse gases worldwide, Iran grapples with significant air pollution challenges, especially in major cities like the capital, Tehran. Clean air remains a rarity, with only 3-4 days of such conditions experienced throughout the last year.

Despite benefiting from 300 sunny days annually and vast windy mountainous and coastal areas, the Islamic Republic has not prioritized the flourishing of clean energy sources.

Iran Trails as Neighbours Forge Ahead

In 2023, Turkey increased its renewables capacity by 2,840 MW, while Saudi Arabia tripled its figure to 2,800 MW during the same period. Additionally, Turkey aims to add 7,000 MW of renewables capacity in 2024.

Currently, renewables (solar, wind, biomass, geothermal) and hydropower collectively account for approximately 59% of Turkey's nominal power generation capacity. In contrast, in Iran, this figure stands at about 15%.

It's worth noting that Iran's actual hydropower generation only contributes 4.4% to electricity generation, significantly lower than its nominal capacity of 12%, largely due to drought conditions.

The Energy Information Administration recently predicted that renewable capacity expansion in the Middle East and North Africa is set to increase by 62 gigawatts (GW) between 2023 and 2028.

Over the next five years, the pace of growth is expected to accelerate to more than three times that of the previous five-year period, with solar photovoltaic (PV) installations accounting for over 85% of the increase.

More than one-third of the growth will occur in Saudi Arabia alone, with significant contributions also expected from the United Arab Emirates, Morocco, Oman, Egypt, Israel, and Jordan. Together, these seven countries are projected to account for over 90% of the region's growth in renewable energy capacity.

Additionally, Saudi Acwa Power and the UAE's Masdar companies have signed major projects with Iran's northern neighbors to develop their renewable energy projects.

In November 2023, Masdar launched Azerbaijan's 230 MW solar farm and entered into a joint project with Acwa and Azerbaijan's state-run oil company, Socar, to develop 500 MW of renewable energy in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic of Azerbaijan.

ACWA Power is currently in the process of developing a 240 MW wind power plant in Azerbaijan. Additionally, the company signed four implementation agreements in early 2023 for the development of a 1 GW onshore wind farm and a 1.5 GW offshore wind farm with Azerbaijan.

Azerbaijan has also inked numerous contracts with companies such as French Total and British Petroleum to expand the capacity of solar and wind farms to 10,000 MW by 2030.

The Saudi company has also entered into multiple renewable energy contracts with Uzbekistan, including the construction of a 2400-MW wind power plant. Additionally, agreements have been made for the development of a plant with a 3000-ton/year hydrogen production capacity and another plant with a 500,000-ton/year green ammonia production capacity. It launched the first wind turbine in Bukhara during the previous summer.

Acwa Power also secured an agreement with Kazakhstan last year to construct a 1000- MW wind farm.

In 2023, Kazakhstan inaugurated 16 renewable energy facilities with a total capacity of 496 MW. The country's current renewables capacity stands at close to 3000 MW, with plans to ramp it up to 6,700 MW by 2027.

Iran's southern neighbor, Oman, has initiated the development of its large-scale hydrogen project. As per the International Energy Agency, Oman intends to produce a minimum of 1 million tons of renewable hydrogen annually by 2030, scaling up to 3.75 million tons by 2040, and potentially reaching 8.5 million tons by 2050. This ambitious plan would surpass the current total hydrogen demand in Europe.

Qatar meanwhile has commenced the construction of a blue ammonia project with a capacity of 1.2 million tons per year in 2022.

He warned of the likelihood of intensified protests as a result of the economic crisis unless salaries are increased and policies more suited to Iran are implemented.

"In the past year, the prices of consumer goods in Iran have skyrocketed several times, but wages have remained stagnant,” he pointed out as more and more Iranians fall below the poverty line.

In a bold statement, Sadeghi blamed government inefficiency. "This year, they [the government] have budgeted based on taxation, so people are bracing for a 67% inflation. This is while even if wages are doubled, it will have no effect on reducing inflation."

Furthermore, Sadeghi accused the government of “copy paste versions” of IMF policies without considering Iran's unique economic challenges.

"They don't care about the principle that we are a third-world country and our people earn in rials but spend in dollars. The government should not implement IMF policies with Iran's flawed and inefficient economic structure,” he added.

Iran's inflation trends have been on a rise in recent years, with rates soaring from around 10% in 2016 to nearly 50% in 2023.

In a letter bearing the names of National Security adviser Jake Sullivan and Environmental Protection Agency administrator Michael Regan asked governors to help the administration take measures to “secure water systems against the increasing risks from and consequences of these attacks.”

In the past few years, Iran has grown more aggressive in its relations with the United States, targeting American forces and bases through its proxies in the Middle East, and even plotting to assassinate former US officials on American soil.

Targeting water infrastructure is perhaps more brazen than all other actions, as it affects not just the armed forces or politicians, but ordinary Americans.

"Disabling cyberattacks are striking water and wastewater systems throughout the United States,” Sullivan and Regan wrote. “These attacks have the potential to disrupt the critical lifeline of clean and safe drinking water, as well as impose significant costs on affected communities."

The warning letter –made public Tuesday– may suggest that the administration perceives the threat to be serious and substantive. Hackers associated with Iran and China have already attacked water systems, according to Sullivan and Regan

The letter notes that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) “has targeted and disabled a common type of operational technology used at water facilities where the facility had neglected to change a default manufacturer password."

The letter doesn’t have much more on the specifics of those attacks, not even their nature . But it does offer an overview of the relationship between the Biden administration and the Iranian regime, which seems to be emboldened enough to attempt such an attack, potentially harming a large number of Americans on American soil.

"Drinking water and wastewater systems are a lifeline for communities, but many systems have not adopted important cybersecurity practices to thwart potential cyberattacks," Regan said in a press release announcing a virtual meeting on the subject for Thursday.

“We need your support to ensure that all water systems in your state comprehensively assess their current cyber security practices to identify any significant vulnerabilities,” Sullivan and Regan wrote in their letter to state governors.

They also demanded each state to exercise plans to prepare and recover from a potential cyber incident. The water system in the US is known to be vulnerable, lacking proper funding and facing staffing shortages.

According to Bloomberg, hackers related to the Iranian regime attacked Israeli-made digital controls in the water industries in the US last November, affecting several states without affecting water supply.

Many in Washington blame the Biden administration for not confronting Iran in a meaningful way that would establish deterrence. President Biden and his team have made it clear on several occasions, however, that they don’t want escalation with Iran, allowing the IRGC and its regional allies to plot with not much to fear.

It remains to be seen how this policy changes –if at all– during the 2024 presidential campaign and afterwards.

It said the networks — based in Iran, Turkey, Oman and Germany – had procured carbon fiber, epoxy resins and other missile-applicable goods.

“Through complex covert procurement networks, Iran seeks to supply rogue actors around the world with weapons systems that fuel conflict and risk countless civilian lives,” said Brian Nelson, undersecretary of the Treasury for terrorism and financial intelligence. “The United States will continue to use our tools to disrupt these networks and hold accountable those countries that would help proliferate Iran’s drones and missiles.”

Germany-based dual Iranian-German national Maziar Karimi has procured epoxy resin and other items for Iran’s IRGC ASF SSJO using a complex web of intermediaries and front companies, the Treasury said. Karimi has used Oman-based Mazaya Alardh Aldhabia LLC (MAA) as a front company to facilitate procurements for Iranian defense end-users, including the IRGC ASF SSJO and Iran’s Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics (MODAFL).

Turkey-based company Gokler Dis Ticaret Limited Sirketi has facilitated procurements of carbon fiber and solvents used in the production of carbon fiber for Iran’s MODAFL and its subsidiaries. Additionally, Rostam Shahmari Ghojeh Biklo, Pishro Mobtaker Peyvand (PMP), and Mitra Inanlu were involved in the procurement of proliferation-sensitive material for proscribed elements of Iran’s nuclear and other military weapons programs through various cover companies, including `Alborz Organic Materials Engineering Company.

Last month, the Treasury announced punitive measures targeting Iran’s ballistic missile and drone procurement programs as Washington looked to increase pressure on Tehran, whose proxies in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and the Gaza Strip have attacked US and Israeli targets.

(With reporting by Reuters)