Iran Says Expansion Of Hamas-Israel War 'Inevitable'

The official who requested anonymity said the attack north of Erbil inflicted no damage or casualties. Iran International’s sources in northern Iraq confirmed explosion at Harir base, but there was no information on casualties.

Earlier on Thursday, Iraqi militant groups back by Iran had claimed that they targeted the US embassy in Baghdad and others reported hearing explosion, but the Pentagon official dismissed these claims.

Sine the October 7 terror attack on Israel by Hamas, Iran’s armed proxy groups in the region have targeted US forces in Syria and Iraq more than 40 times. The United States has retaliated twice, bombing weapons storge facilities in Syria belonging to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and their militia forces. The limited response has failed to deter Iran and its proxies.

Iran’s proxies attacked US forces in the region regularly since 2018, when Washington pulled out of the 2015 nuclear deal and imposed sanctions. These attacks intensified in December 2019 leading to the targeted killing of Qassem Soleimani, Iran’s top operator in the region, by orders of President Donald Trump.

However, in the past one year the attacks subsided apparently because Iran was negotiating with the Biden administration for unblocking billions of dollars of its frozen funds abroad. In June and August, the US agreed to unfreeze more than eight billion dollars blocked in Iraq and South Korea.

Citing the findings of scientists from Iran, the UK, the US, and the Netherlands, World Weather Attribution reported that the drought spanning 36 months from July 2020 to June 2023, was “the second worst in the observed record.”

According to the report, the drought which affected large parts of Iran and the whole Euphrates and Tigris basin, the two rivers crossing Iraq and Syria, would have been less severe if the world had been 1.2°C cooler.

The consequences of the drought in the region were made even more severe as a result of sociopolitical conflicts, most notably the Ukraine war which heavily influenced food and energy prices, the report added.

The findings of the study maintained that “war and post-war transition, rapid urbanization in the face of limited technical capacity, and regional instability” compounded the negative outcomes of the drought in the region, leading to a humanitarian crisis.

The three-year drought in Iran, Iraq, and Syria was ruinous as the majority of the people in these countries depend on “rain-fed agriculture” to sustain their livelihood, said the report.

World Weather Attribution also warned that under the present climatic situation, it is to be expected that such severe droughts will recur “at least every decade.”

“After quite good rains in 2020 and good harvests, three years of very low rainfalls followed with very high temperatures led to a drought with very severe impacts on agricultural access to potable water,” France24 quoted Friederike Otto, affiliated with Imperial College London, as saying with regard to the three-year drought.

Meanwhile, Mohammad Rahimi, professor of “desert greening” at the University of Semnan, Iran, emphasized the importance of better resource management given increasing temperatures in the region.

“We anticipate that we will have more evaporation and transpiration from the plants so I am not so optimistic for the future,” Rahimi stipulated.

The Iranian regime’s mismanagement of the country’s environment, especially water resources, have garnered harsh criticism from scientists and activists over recent years.

Three months ago, Iranians held a demonstration in the northwestern city of Tabriz to protest mismanagement that has led to the disappearance of Lake Urmia.

In July last year, a rally was held for the same reason and the regime’s security forces arrested several activists.

Located between the provinces of East Azarbaijan and West Azarbaijan in northwestern Iran, Lake Urmia (Orumiyeh) was the largest lake in the Middle East and the sixth-largest saltwater lake on Earth with an original surface area of 5,200 square kilometers in the 1970s, or 2,000 square miles. It had shrunk to 700 sq km by 2013. The lake began shrinking in the 1980s due to water mismanagement and climate change.

Farhikhtegan newspaper reported last year that a quarter of Iran’s farmers have lost their jobs in the past seven years mostly due to lack of water.

Droughts and shortage of water have also lead to soil erosion, desertification, and dust storms in Iran.

Iran's health ministry revealed in July that approximately half of Iran's population is currently facing hazardous dust storms, posing serious risks to people's health.

However, Mohammad-Mehdi Hosseini Hamedani, the Supreme Leader’s representative in the city of Karaj, attributed the low precipitation in Iran to a lack of hijab observance, after many women took off their veils following months of protests.

Earlier this week, Ms. Alamolhoda wrote a letter to French President Emmanuelle Macron's wife, Brigitte Macron, urging her to ask her husband to press for cease-fire in the Gaza war.

Politicians and members of the public criticized Ms. Alamolhoda for her ambitions to assume the role of the first lady, although, on previous occasions, she clarified that she is no more than a second lady, as the position of the first lady is reserved for Supreme Leader Khamenei's wife Khojasteh.

In September, Ms. Alamolhoda participated in several interviews with US networks alongside the UN General Assembly and spread disinformation including the claim about Iranian men not being happy with their wife going to work. Many men and women objected, explaining that it is hardly possible to make ends meet if both spouses do not go to work to earn a living.

Despite the criticisms, which at least on one occasion came from Khamenei's office, cautioning Raisi to curb his wife's political ambitions and her intervention state affairs, Jamileh Alamolhoda does not seem to have been shaken by the criticisms.

After she was criticized for writing to Ms. Macron, Jamileh insisted that she was writing to 40 other European first ladies, although obviously Europe cannot have that many first ladies.

Earlier this year she created another controversy by sponsoring a conference of "accomplished women" some of whom no one knew and others found out hard to explain their accomplishments.

Ms. Almolhoda has been accused by Iranian politicians for using non-diplomatic expressions in her letter to Ms. Macron. She wrote: "Dear Ms. Macron! Please, as a kind and self-sacrificing woman who represents the women, mothers and daughters of France, ask your husband not to be an accomplice in murdering helpless Palestinian children and women. I wish you reward from God for your humanitarian efforts."

She wrote the letter without knowing that Macron's wife accompanied him during the visit to Israel to express support for the government. Critics asked whether the Iranian Foreign Ministry knew about the letter at a time Iran needs stronger diplomacy.

Some at the President's Office in Tehran have told Khabar Online that writing the letters was Ms. Alamolhoda's independent activity and had nothing to do with the government.

Earlier, conservative commentator Mohammad Mohajeri wrote that some cabinet members felt humiliated when they found out that they needed to go and see Ms. Alamolhoda to brief her on their activities. He reminded Raisi that "great men", possibly alluding to Khamenei, told you beforehand to stop that kind of behavior.

A cleric by the name of Jalil Mohebbi, wrote just once sentence to Raisi in a tweet: "Stop your wife!" Later, he was probably forced to change his tone and write a formal letter to Ms. Alamolhoda and President Raisi on social media.

Conservative cleric Abbas Ali Amiri wrote in a tweet addressed to Ms. Alamolhoda: "If you accept the title of the first lady, you should also accept concepts such as secularism, pluralism, liberalism and so on."

Former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's aide, Abdolreza Davari, also wrote in a tweet that what she did was non-diplomatic and disrespectful to the regime and Supreme Leader. She also accused Ms. Alamolhoda of doing all this because she has an ambition to be called "first lady."

On the other hand, official news agency chief, Ali Naderi, claimed that Ms. Alomolhoda's letter was effective, and Macron has called for a cease-fire. Iranian journalist Ehsan Bodaghi wrote in a tweet that if Naderi had checked his own agency's output, he would have found out that Macron called for a cease-fire several weeks ago.

Iranian media argued that the role of the first lady is clearly defined in the laws of foreign countries, and there are official protocols for what they can and cannot do. However, in Iran, there is no such person as the first lady and the country's former presidents including Khamenei himself understood this very well. What Raisi thinks about the matter is another story. His office never answers questions. However, individuals close to him have insisted that Ms. Alamolhoda's activities are independent of her husband's role.

In other words, either Raisi cannot prevent his wife from intervention in state affairs, or he agrees with what his wife does, but does not feel the need to explain that to others.

Some media outlets such as Khabar Online have suggested that if Ms. Alamolhoda is so keen to continue her activism, she had better establish a political and ensure that, as President's wife, what she does will not disrupt the consistency between the president office's policies and those of the political system as a whole.

Ahmad-Reza Radan went on to express that, "becoming a martyr and being sanctioned are equally enjoyable for me."

Radan, appointed as Iran's police chief by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in January amid widespread anti-regime protests, has a controversial history. His track record as the former police chief of Greater Tehran, Kordestan, and Sistan-Baluchistan provinces raised immediate concerns upon his appointment.

The police chief gained notoriety during the 2009 post-election unrest, particularly for his role in the Kahrizak detention center, where young protesters, including children of state officials, fell victim to police brutality. Disturbing visuals of Radan's men running over protesters with police vehicles in Tehran further tainted his reputation.

The United States sanctioned Radan for human rights violations as early as 2010, and he has been blacklisted by the European Union. Despite international condemnation, Radan seems to view the sanctions as what he calls a “badge of honor", likening them to receiving an honorary medal for his service to the Islamic Republic's system.

In a report released by Microsoft's Threat Analysis Center (MTAC) on November 8, it was stated that “election infrastructure, campaigns, and voters” are expected to be targeted by “authoritarian regimes.”

The 2024 US presidential election is of grave importance to such countries as Russia, Iran and China as it will define Washington’s future foreign policy with regard to several major conflicts on the global stage, added the report entitled “Protecting Election 2024 from foreign malign influence.”

The report referred to the Ukraine war, the conflict in Gaza, and China’s mounting aggressiveness towards Taiwan, predicting that “authoritarian nation states” will try to influence the next year US election “to advance their strategic goals.”

Russia “remains the most committed and capable threat” to the upcoming presidential election, Microsoft analytical survey warned.

According to the report, before 2016 and 2020 US elections, there was “account positioning and messaging designed to sway audiences across the political spectrum in hopes of influencing the nominee result in each political party before the general election.”

Though the 2022 US midterm elections were held without “impactful cyber or influence operations from Russia, Iran, or China,” it has been observed over the recent weeks that Moscow has been slowly accelerating its influence operations, the report stated.

Microsoft's Threat Analysis Center also confirmed that Iran has intensified its cyberattacks and influence operations since 2020, targeting Israel and Bahrain, for instance.

“Microsoft remains committed to protecting democratic elections, and we’ve outlined our principles for safeguarding elections and democratic institutions in the era of AI,” the report stressed.