Visiting lecturer, Paris School of International Affairs (PSIA)
Clement Therme is a Non-Resident Fellow at the International Institute for Iranian Studies (Rasanah) and a visiting lecturer at the Paris School of International Affairs (PSIA) at Sciences Po Paris.
As Tehran faces its sharpest internal challenge since the 2022 Woman, Life, Freedom protests, the ruling elite’s ability to withstand sustained popular protests now rests not only on domestic coercion but increasingly on backing from Moscow.
Europe is no longer a mediator but a co-architect of US-led pressure on Iran, and the relationship post-snapback is likely to harden into a more openly adversarial phase.
Tehran’s sharpening nuclear clash with the West and embrace of Beijing and Moscow have brought it to a crossroads, where choices this month may decide the future of Iran’s rulers and the ruled.
Russian President Vladimir Putin's agreement to mediate between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program adds new layers of complexity to an issue which already threatened to add a new war front to a conflict spanning Eurasia.
