Iran-Backed Iraqi Militia Group Vows More Attacks On US Forces

Minister of Industry, Mine and Trade Abbas Aliabadi told Mohammad-Reza Farzin that the two car manufacturers face financial difficulties due to existing high inflation. The government claims the companies have not increased car prices, as an anti-inflationary measure, although prices have risen in the market in the past year. The move can be a prelude to a government-sanctioned rise of car prices.

Aliabadi requested an immediate increase in their credit limits, suggesting 100 trillion rials (about $200 million) for Iran Khodro and 50 trillion rials (about $100 million) for SAIPA. Aliabadi claimed that the request is in line with the Deputy President Mohammad Mokhber's approval for enhanced production in the final months of the Iranian year (which ends on March 20) to stabilize the market.

According to Iranian auto industry expert Farhad Ehteshamzad, the country’s state-owned carmakers are incurring daily losses of $3.7 million, totaling over one billion dollars annually. He claimed that the huge loss is the direct result of the government’s interventions in the auto industry.

Iran’s car industry is mired in a wide range of problems. The main manufacturers are owned by the state and enjoy huge incentives and support from the government. Despite the losses, Iran’s automotive industry is the third most active sector, after oil and gas sectors, accounting for about 10% of Iran's GDP and 4% of the workforce (700,000 persons). It was valued in 2020 at $26.4 billion by India-based Modor Intelligence, which forecasts 10 percent sectoral annual growth to 2026. This would be possible without sanctions and with a new infusion of investments and foreign partnerships.

According to Iran’s state-run media, IRGC “advisor” Saeid Alidadi was killed in the airstrikes. Iranian news sites did not give his rank. Iranian and Syrian sources claim the attack was launched by Israel, but there is no official acknowledgement about who was behind the missile strike.

Earlier in the day, Syria's state news agency SANA, citing a Syrian military source, said the country's military had downed a number of Israeli missiles launched from the Golan Heights at southern Damascus. 

Israel has for years carried out attacks on what it has described as Iran-linked targets in Syria, where Tehran's influence has grown since it began supporting President Bashar al-Assad in a civil war that started in 2011.

Since the October 7 attack on Israel by Palestinian militant group Hamas from Gaza, Israel has escalated its strikes on Iranian-backed militia targets in Syria and has also struck Syrian army air defenses and some Syrian forces.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards have started scaling back deployment of their senior officers in Syria due to concerns about Tehran being sucked into a wider regional conflict, sources have told Reuters.The Guards will instead rely more on allied Shiite militia to preserve their sway there, the sources said. Three of the sources said the Guards were once again recruiting Shiite fighters from Afghanistan and Pakistan to deploy to Syria, echoing earlier phases of the war when Shiite militias played a part in turning the tide of the conflict.

Mohammad Ebadi, an international relations researcher, described the withdrawal of Iranian Revolutionary Guard officers from Syria as merely a "tactical move," aimed at protecting the lives of its commanders. He claimed that Iran cannot afford to lose its ranking commanders.

Iran International reported last week that some in Tehran suspect an Israeli infiltration in tracking and pinpointing the whereabouts of senior IRGC officers in Syria.

In one of Israeli attacks, on January 20, five members of the Guards were killed, Iranian state media reported, including a general who ran intelligence for the Quds Force, which is responsible for the Guards' overseas operations. Another, on December 25 outside Damascus, killed a senior Guards adviser responsible for coordinating between Syria and Iran.

Gregory Brew, an analyst with Eurasia group, a political risk consultancy, told Reuters the failure to protect Iranian commanders had "clearly undermined Iran's position" but Tehran was unlikely to end its commitment to Syria to preserving its role in Syria.

Moreover, after a January drone attack by an Iranian-backed Iraqi group in Jordan that killed three US soldiers, Washington has vowed to retaliate against targets, that could include IRGC assets in Syria. CBS News, citing US officials, reported on Thursday that the United States had approved plans for multi-day strikes in Iraq and Syria against multiple targets, including Iranian personnel and facilities in those countries.

NBC also reported Thursday that The Biden administration hasn’t yet finalized targets, but it is preparing a “campaign” that could last “weeks.” Citing unnamed officials, NBC said the targets are expected to include Iranian targets outside Iran, and the campaign will involve both strikes and cyber operations.

Earlier in the week, an attack on the headquarters of the IRGC in the "Sayyidah Zainab" area in southern Damascus also killed "a number of Iranian advisers." Al-Arabiya network has identified the targeted location in Syria as the command center of forces affiliated with the Islamic Republic. Reuters, citing a source close to Iran, reported that the attack targeted a base used by the IRGC. Later, Iran's ambassador to Syria denied that the IRGC headquarters was hit, while Tasnim news agency in Tehran affiliated with the Revolutionary Guards did confirm the target.

(With reporting by Reuters)

In its 700-word statement released on Friday, the ministry did not provide any specific details about the so-called spies but claimed that the identities of some of the spies active in countries maintaining intelligence sharing treaties with Iran have been provided to the respective governments.

The statement also said some of these agents have volunteered to work for Mossad, which made them “carry out various treacherous operations against the interests of their countries and the security of their fellow citizens” as a measure to test their sincerity.

The intelligence ministry also claimed that some spies in Tehran and a few provinces have been identified and either faced legal action on charges of spying for Israel or placed under security surveillance.

“Additionally, a number of Iranian spies residing outside the country have been identified, and decisions will be made based on the circumstances of each and the level of relationships between the ministry and the intelligence agencies of the countries where the spies reside," read the statement. This raises concerns that Iran could take action against dissidents of Iranian origin living abroad, alleging collaboration with Israel as a pretext.

Iranian intelligence organs often claim success in identifying or arresting "terrorists" or "spies" but rarely produce any concrete evidence or follow up the initial news with public trials.

Raisi who has been visiting Hormozgan Province on the Persian Gulf, added: "The enemy cannot take any action against us because it knows that our forces are powerful and capable."

According to Fars news website affiliated with the IRGC, Raisi, apparently referring to the United Stated added , "Previously...they used to talk with threats and military options on the table. But now, there are no such talks, and they say they have no intention of conflict with the Islamic Republic. It is the strength of our people and our armed forces that has created this deterrence."

Raisi’s remarks follow a deadly drone attack on US forces in Jordan last Sunday that killed three American soldiers and led to the Biden administration vowing retaliation. However, after six days no military action has been taken against Iran and its proxy forces who launched the attack.

Iranian media on Friday carried headlines that the United States will not directly attack Iran, based on reports in Western media. Also, information by Reuters and others indicates that senior Revolutionary Guard officers and their affiliated bases in Iraq and Syria are being evacuated due to an expectation of US strikes.

The Biden administration is reportedly contemplating a prolonged retaliatory campaign, although several reports quoting officials on Thursday appear to show that Iran is being given the benefit of doubt about its role in the attack in Jordan and elsewhere.

As fears begin to subside in Tehran about direct US retaliation, Iran's currency has regained some stability after falling more than 10 percent since the deadly attack on US troops.

Riyadh is seeking a defense pact with the United States, and this approach is seen as a way to move forward after months of diplomatic attempts to normalize relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel were halted due to mounting Arab anger over the war in Gaza. The Saudi government is eager to enhance its security and counter threats from Iran while advancing its economic transformation plan.

Saudi officials have conveyed to the US that they would accept a political commitment to a two-state solution, providing some flexibility in negotiations. A defense pact between Saudi Arabia and the US could reshape the Middle East by bringing the most influential Arab state closer to Israel, and potentially bolstering Israel's defense against Iran. However, achieving such an agreement faces political and diplomatic challenges.

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has resisted Palestinian statehood, complicating negotiations. Saudi officials have urged the US to press Israel to end the Gaza conflict and commit to a "political horizon" for a Palestinian state. The US sees Riyadh's strong desire for a defense pact as an opportunity for flexibility on Israel's commitment to Palestinian statehood.

The Biden administration is keen on reaching an agreement, and Riyadh is eager to secure a deal while the Democrats are in power. Still, obstacles remain, including Netanyahu's position on Palestinian statehood. The clock is ticking for achieving this mega-deal, as US officials hope that tying defense guarantees to normalization could gain congressional support, but timing is crucial, with the upcoming US presidential election adding uncertainty to the situation.